As Cyprus heads to the polls today for parliamentary elections, The Levant Files is closely monitoring developments amid expectations of a potentially transformative outcome.
According to the latest surveys, the two traditionally dominant parties—center-right DISI and left-wing AKEL—are projected to suffer notable losses. Both parties are expected to secure approximately 14 to 15 seats each, marking a historic low and signaling growing voter fragmentation.
In contrast, the ultra-right nationalist party ELAM appears poised to emerge as one of the election’s major winners, with projections suggesting it could capture up to nine parliamentary seats. This would represent a substantial gain and further underline shifting political dynamics.
New political entrants are also making a strong showing. The centrist ALMA movement and the populist Direct Democracy party are each expected to secure between six and seven seats, reflecting voter appetite for alternatives to established forces.
The traditional “kingmaker” party DIKO is also projected to see its influence reduced, with estimates indicating it may secure around six seats.
Meanwhile, the pan-European Volt party faces an uncertain outcome, as it struggles to surpass the 3.71 percent electoral threshold required for parliamentary representation.
For smaller and more unconventional parties, the prospect of entering parliament remains largely out of reach.
The publication of exit polls is prohibited under Cypriot law. All estimates cited above are based on the latest opinion polls and research conducted prior to the enforcement of the pre-election blackout period.
The Levant Files will closely monitor developments throughout the day and provide timely updates as results unfold.