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TLF SPECIAL: Gulf States Warn Iran. Restraint Is Running Out

As missile barrages continue, the region edges toward a wider war The Gulf is on the brink of a dramatic and dangerous escalation. For weeks, Iran has bombarded its neighbors with an unprecedented torrent of drones and ballistic missiles, striking airports, energy facilities, and areas near American military installations across all six Gulf Cooperation Council states. Now, the patience of those states is expiring — and the threat of a direct military counterstrike is no longer hypothetical. Saudi Foreign Minister Faisal bin Farhan has warned publicly that the kingdom and its allies possess significant capabilities that can be activated if needed, stressing that their current restraint is not boundless — and hinting that Iran has only days, or perhaps a week, before a potential shift in posture. These are not the words of a government searching for a diplomatic off-ramp. These are the words of a government preparing its public — and its adversary — for war. The scale of what Iran has u...
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Israel Cannot Achieve 'Total Victory' Over Hezbollah, Warns Former Minister

Israel will never fully eliminate the Hezbollah threat regardless of how hard it strikes the Lebanese militant group, a former Israeli cabinet minister and special forces commander has warned, calling on the government to abandon what he describes as dangerous illusions of total victory. Writing in an opinion piece published Thursday in Haaretz, Omer Bar-Lev — a former public security minister and commander of the elite Sayeret Matkal unit — argued that both Hezbollah and Iran have repeatedly demonstrated their capacity to recover significant military capabilities within months of being struck, rendering the current approach strategically futile. "However hard we hit Iran and Hezbollah, in a few months they recover a significant part of their military capabilities," Bar-Lev wrote, invoking the maxim attributed to Albert Einstein about the insanity of repeating the same actions while expecting different results. Bar-Lev pointed to the ongoing Gaza war as further evidence of th...

Η Πυραυλική Απόπειρα Κατά Του Ντιέγκο Γκαρσία Εντείνει Τις Ανησυχίες Για Τις Βρετανικές Βάσεις Στην Κύπρο

Η εκτόξευση από το Ιράν, το Σάββατο, δύο βαλλιστικών πυραύλων μέσου βεληνεκούς προς το Ντιέγκο Γκαρσία αξιολογείται ως εξέλιξη που δεν ανατρέπει μόνο τις ισορροπίες στον Ινδικό Ωκεανό, αλλά και τους σχεδιασμούς ασφαλείας στην Ανατολική Μεσόγειο. Η κίνηση αυτή, η οποία θεωρείται η πρώτη γνωστή απόπειρα πυραυλικής επίθεσης της Τεχεράνης εναντίον στόχου εκτός της Μέσης Ανατολής, εκτιμάται ότι συνιστά και σοβαρή προειδοποίηση για τις βρετανικές βάσεις στην Κύπρο. Κανένας από τους πυραύλους δεν έπληξε την αμερικανική βάση στον Ινδικό Ωκεανό, η οποία βρίσκεται σε έδαφος μισθωμένο από το Ηνωμένο Βασίλειο. Σύμφωνα με πληροφορίες, ο πρώτος πύραυλος παρουσίασε βλάβη κατά τη διάρκεια της πτήσης, ενώ για τον δεύτερο εκτοξεύθηκε πύραυλος αναχαίτισης SM-3 από αμερικανικό πολεμικό πλοίο που βρισκόταν στην περιοχή. Ωστόσο, δεν έχει ακόμη διευκρινιστεί αν η αναχαίτιση υπήρξε πλήρως επιτυχής. Ιδιαίτερη προσοχή προκάλεσε και ο χρόνος της επίθεσης. Η απόπειρα σημειώθηκε μόλις λίγες ώρες αφότου ο πρωθυπουρ...

İran’ın Diego Garcia’ya Yönelik Füze Girişimi, Kıbrıs’taki Birleşik Krallık Üslerine İlişkin Kaygıları Büyütüyor

İran’ın cumartesi günü Diego Garcia’ya doğru iki orta menzilli balistik füze fırlatması, yalnızca Hint Okyanusu’ndaki dengeleri değil, Doğu Akdeniz’deki güvenlik hesaplarını da sarsan bir gelişme olarak değerlendiriliyor. Tahran’ın Orta Doğu dışındaki bir hedefe yönelik bilinen ilk füze saldırı girişimi olarak görülen bu adımın, Kıbrıs’taki Birleşik Krallık üsleri bakımından da ciddi uyarı niteliği taşıdığı belirtiliyor. Füzelerin hiçbiri, Hint Okyanusu’nda bulunan ve Birleşik Krallık tarafından kiralanan ABD üssünü vuramadı. İlk füzenin uçuş sırasında başarısız olduğu bildirilirken, ikinci füze için bölgede konuşlu bir ABD savaş gemisinden SM-3 önleyicisi ateşlendi. Ancak önlemenin tam anlamıyla başarılı olup olmadığı konusunda henüz net bir açıklama yapılmadı. Saldırının zamanlaması da ayrıca dikkat çekti. Girişimin, Birleşik Krallık Başbakanı Keir Starmer’ın, Hürmüz Boğazı’nda ticari deniz taşımacılığını tehdit eden İran füze noktalarına karşı yürütülen operasyonlar kapsamında Diego...

Iran Targets Diego Garcia as Natanz Struck Again; War Enters Fourth Week

The US-Israeli war on Iran entered its fourth week on Saturday with a cascade of significant escalations: Iran fired ballistic missiles at the joint UK-US military base on Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean, the Natanz nuclear enrichment facility was struck for a second time, drone attacks set fires near American facilities in Baghdad, and Israeli forces continued their assault on Hezbollah in Lebanon. Meanwhile, conflicting signals from Washington and Tel Aviv deepened uncertainty over the conflict's trajectory. Diego Garcia Strike — and a Dangerous Revelation Iran launched two intermediate-range ballistic missiles at Diego Garcia, the remote British overseas territory housing a strategic US-UK military base in the Indian Ocean. Neither missile struck the base, according to sources cited by the BBC and the Wall Street Journal, but the episode has unsettled Western defence planners for a fundamental reason: Diego Garcia lies approximately 4,000 kilometres from Iran — double the 2,000...

Iran's Diego Garcia Strike Attempt Raises Alarm Over British Bases in Cyprus

Iran launched two intermediate-range ballistic missiles toward Diego Garcia on Saturday, marking the first known Iranian missile strike attempt beyond the Middle East and sending shockwaves through allied defence planning far beyond the Indian Ocean — including, sources warn, as far as Cyprus. Neither missile struck the remote British-leased US base in the Indian Ocean. One failed mid-flight, while a US warship deployed an SM-3 interceptor against the second, though it remains unclear whether the interception was fully successful. The strike came hours after UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer authorised expanded American use of British-linked bases — including Diego Garcia and RAF Fairford — to conduct offensive operations against Iranian missile sites threatening commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. The strategic shock of the attack lies less in its outcome than in the distance: approximately 4,000 kilometres, double the 2,000-kilometre range Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghch...

UK Approves Use of British Bases for US Strikes on Iranian Sites Targeting Strait of Hormuz: What It Means for Cyprus

The United Kingdom announced on Friday that it has approved the use of its military bases for US strikes on Iranian sites targeting the Strait of Hormuz, marking a significant broadening of Britain’s role in the ongoing US-Israel-Iran conflict. The decision, taken during a ministerial meeting, expands the terms under which American forces may operate from RAF Fairford in Gloucestershire and the Diego Garcia facility in the Indian Ocean, both of which had previously been authorised only for “defensive” operations against missile facilities threatening British personnel and regional allies. Downing Street stressed that “the principles behind the UK’s approach to the conflict remain the same,” insisting that British forces would not be directly involved in the strikes and that the expanded permission covers “US defensive operations” targeting capabilities used to attack shipping in the Strait. Ministers also “underlined the need for urgent de-escalation and a swift resolution to the war.”...

Το Η.Β. Άνοιξε Τις Βάσεις Του Στις Ηπα Κατά Του Ιράν Με Φόντο Τα Στενά Ορμούζ – Σοβαρές Επιπτώσεις Για Κύπρο

Το Ηνωμένο Βασίλειο ανακοίνωσε την Παρασκευή ότι ενέκρινε τη χρήση στρατιωτικών βάσεών του από τις Ηνωμένες Πολιτείες για επιθέσεις εναντίον ιρανικών στόχων, οι οποίες συνδέονται με τις απειλές κατά των Στενών του Ορμούζ. Η απόφαση αυτή θεωρείται ένδειξη σημαντικής διεύρυνσης του ρόλου που αναλαμβάνει το Λονδίνο στη σύγκρουση ΗΠΑ–Ισραήλ–Ιράν. Στο πλαίσιο απόφασης που ελήφθη σε υπουργικό επίπεδο, επεκτάθηκαν οι όροι υπό τους οποίους οι αμερικανικές δυνάμεις μπορούν να χρησιμοποιούν τη βάση RAF Fairford στο Γκλόστερσαϊρ, καθώς και τη στρατιωτική εγκατάσταση στο Ντιέγκο Γκαρσία, στον Ινδικό Ωκεανό. Μέχρι πρότινος, η χρήση αυτών των δύο βάσεων επιτρεπόταν μόνο για «αμυντικές» επιχειρήσεις, με στόχο πυραυλικές υποδομές που απειλούσαν προσωπικό του Ηνωμένου Βασιλείου και συμμάχους στην περιοχή. Η Ντάουνινγκ Στριτ υποστήριξε ότι δεν έχει αλλάξει η βασική αρχή της στάσης του Ηνωμένου Βασιλείου απέναντι στη σύγκρουση και ξεκαθάρισε ότι οι ένοπλες δυνάμεις του Ηνωμένου Βασιλείου δεν θα συμμετάσχ...

Birleşik Krallık, ABD’nin Hürmüz Boğazı’nı Hedef Alan İran Operasyonları İçin Üslerini Açtı: Kararın Kıbrıs’a Yansımaları Vahim

Birleşik Krallık, cuma günü yaptığı açıklamada, ABD’nin Hürmüz Boğazı’na yönelik tehditlerle bağlantılı İran hedeflerine düzenleyeceği saldırılarda kendi askeri üslerini kullanmasına onay verdiğini duyurdu. Bu karar, ABD-İsrail-İran çatışmasında Londra’nın üstlendiği rolün belirgin biçimde genişlediğine işaret ediyor. Bakanlar düzeyinde alınan kararla, Amerikan kuvvetlerinin Gloucestershire’daki RAF Fairford ile Hint Okyanusu’ndaki Diego Garcia tesisini hangi koşullarda kullanabileceği genişletildi. Daha önce bu iki üs için yalnızca Britanyalı personeli ve bölgedeki müttefikleri tehdit eden füze altyapılarına karşı “savunma amaçlı” operasyonlara izin veriliyordu. Downing Street, Birleşik Krallık’ın çatışmaya yaklaşımının temel ilkelerinde bir değişiklik olmadığını savunarak, Birleşik Krallık kuvvetlerinin saldırılara doğrudan katılmayacağını bildirdi. Açıklamada, genişletilen iznin, Hürmüz Boğazı’ndaki deniz taşımacılığına yönelik saldırılarda kullanılan kapasiteyi hedef alan “ABD savu...

Russia Warns Israeli Strike On Iranian Caspian Port Could Ignite Wider Regional War

Moscow cautions that attack on Bandar Anzali threatens to pull Caspian states into the conflict Russia issued a stark warning Friday that Israel's military strike on Iran's northern port of Bandar Anzali risks dragging the Caspian Sea region into an expanding military confrontation, raising the spectre of a conflict that could engulf multiple sovereign states far beyond the Middle Eastern theatre. According to Xinhua, Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova warned in an official statement that Wednesday's attack on the strategic Caspian port — a critical node for regional trade and logistics — has already dealt a blow to the economic interests of Russia and other countries that maintain transport links with Iran through the waterway. The strike on Bandar Anzali marks a dramatic and dangerous escalation in the ongoing US-Israeli campaign against Iran, threatening to shatter the historically stable status of the Caspian Sea as a zone of peace. Zakharova, as cite...