Dr. Nikolaos Stelgias Mere days ago, the Levant Files warned readers of two potential denouements to the unfolding Iranian drama. The first envisioned regime change—a scenario that threatened to unleash upon the region a reprise of the Iraqi catastrophe, magnified across a nation of far greater size and complexity. That particular specter has been banished, at least temporarily, by the Qatari-mediated ceasefire that now holds, however tenuously, between Tehran and Tel Aviv. Since Monday morning, defying expectations and the occasional missile exchange along the Tehran-Tel Aviv axis, this fragile armistice has endured. The Israeli-Iranian confrontation appears to have concluded for the moment. Yet every regional indicator suggests this drama is far from its final act. The Levant finds itself shackled to a deeply flawed peace—one that threatens to amplify the already endemic instability plaguing the region. Our apprehension rests upon four fundamental pillars: First, as astute analysts h...
In a stunning reversal of his long-professed "America First" foreign policy, President Donald Trump ordered massive airstrikes on Iran's key nuclear facilities late Saturday night, plunging the United States into a direct military confrontation with Tehran and risking a catastrophic, wider conflict in the Middle East. The move undermines the President's doctrine, which for years has criticized the "endless wars" of his predecessors. According to an analysis by Philippe Coste in the French newspaper Libération , "the President who promised to pull the United States out of 'endless wars' has just bombed Iran's nuclear sites, at the risk of committing his country to a new, lasting conflict in the Middle East." This action repudiates the core promise to his base that he was the only President in recent memory not to start a new war, a central plank of his 2024 campaign platform. The American assault followed a tense two-week period initiat...