Military support raises concerns
The deployment of Turkey's modern Ada-class anti-submarine warfare corvette TCG Büyükada to the Pakistani seas has sparked international interest. In the context of rising border tensions, this formidable "ghost ship," armed with cutting-edge armament and stealth technology, is a clear show of support for Pakistan.
The event on May 8-9, when hundreds of Turkish-made drones invaded Indian airspace, has complicated relations even more. Indian authorities have identified these drones as "Asis Guard Songar," and Foreign Secretary Vikram Misri says they were aimed against "Indian cities, civilian infrastructure, and military targets." Even if many of these drones were effectively destroyed by Indian forces, the episode represents a potential escalation in the conflict.
Applying Diplomatic Maneuvers
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has been very active in his dealings with Pakistan amid recent tensions. Erdogan became the only foreign leader to meet with Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif mere hours after the terror attack in Pahalgam, Kashmir. Erdogan declared his support for Pakistan following India's "Operation Sindoor," alleging that India's precision strikes against terrorist facilities had resulted in the "martyrdom of numerous civilians." A regional security specialist, Dr. Ayesha Khan, adds that Turkey's plan appears well-positioned to widen its geopolitical impact and increase its influence in the Muslim world. "But this strategy risks offending India, a significant economic force and possible ally."
Cultural and Economic Factors
Beyond military concerns, Turkey's strengthening cultural and economic connections with both countries offer a glimmer of hope. Trade with India is expected to reach $10.7 billion by 2023, and Turkish investment in Pakistani infrastructure has increased significantly. Turkish dramas have large audiences in both nations, while Turkish food and entertainment are famous throughout South Asia. These connections could potentially influence Turkey's geopolitical role in the region.
According to Mehmet Özkan, cultural diplomat, Turkey's cultural diplomacy offers a beacon of hope. "Where formal politics fail, food and culture often provide diplomatic inroads." "The success of Turkish eateries in Islamabad and New Delhi is generating soft power opportunities to support more strident diplomatic efforts." This cultural diplomacy could potentially open new diplomatic inroads and foster more peaceful relations.
What Follows
As tensions rise, the uncertainty of Turkey's role as a possible mediator adds a layer of intrigue to the situation. Despite claiming to promote a peaceful conclusion, its military support for Pakistan casts doubt on its impartiality. International experts believe Turkey's involvement exacerbates an already volatile situation.
It's unclear whether Turkey's increased influence will lead to meaningful de-escalation efforts. Ankara has emerged as a prominent actor in South Asian geopolitics, with far-reaching implications for international relations and regional stability.