The analysis posits that this change stems from desperation. Iran's economy is severely weakened, lagging significantly behind regional powers, while frequent, widespread protests indicate deep public discontent. Militarily, the regime feels increasingly vulnerable, particularly following Israeli actions and the erosion of its regional influence. This confluence of political, economic, and military frailty leaves Khamenei with limited options, pushing him towards a more practical approach that prioritizes the regime's survival over sticking to its traditional ideological stance.
According to the piece, observable signs support this interpretation. Bilateral nuclear talks with the US are proceeding, differing markedly from the multilateral approach of the past. Anti-American symbols and rhetoric are reportedly diminishing in public spaces, with chants like 'Death to America' becoming less common. The prospect of improved relations has even provided a modest boost to Iran's currency, hinting at the potential for a more positive future.
Furthermore, Khamenei is reportedly reshaping his administration, sidelining hardliners and promoting figures more amenable to diplomacy while pursuing rapprochement with former regional rivals like Saudi Arabia. This calculated realignment, driven by the regime's precarious position, suggests Khamenei prioritizes stability and survival, even if it requires engaging with a long-standing adversary. This potential for improved relations with regional rivals offers a glimmer of hope for a more peaceful Middle East, concludes The Economist.