Ahmad al-Sharaa's transitional administration faces a critical legitimacy test following the breakdown of the Sharaa-Mazloum Abdi agreement. This agreement, which sought to integrate Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces into the national framework, was a significant step towards national unity. However, Kurdish factions withdrew from the deal, citing constitutional concerns, stalling negotiations, and highlighting the deep divisions that persist across Syria's political landscape.
"This episode reinforced the enormous political weight of Assad's legacy—a legacy of division, mistrust, and competing authorities," notes the Observer report, underscoring how decades of authoritarian rule continue to complicate reconciliation efforts.
Security concerns remain paramount as armed groups in Damascus' southern suburbs recently attempted to destabilize the area. While government forces responded effectively, questions persist about the administration's ability to establish comprehensive security across the nation, particularly in volatile regions like Suweida, where sectarian tensions simmer.
Further complicating Syria's transition is alleged Israeli interference. Recent drone strikes near the presidential palace in Damascus believed to be carried out by Israel, signal Israel's willingness to violate Syrian sovereignty. Intelligence sources suggest a systematic Israeli strategy to undermine central authority by courting minority groups—including Druze, Kurdish, and Alawite communities—with financial incentives aimed at fostering separatist sentiments.
Analysts describe Shaara's strategic and cautious approach to balancing internal reconciliation with regional diplomacy. His administration's openness toward Arab Gulf states and its resistance to pressure to reinstate certain political factions are reassuring signs of the government's commitment to stability.
Regional experts are increasingly advocating for bold initiatives, such as the potential invitation of Arab peacekeeping forces from Jordan, Egypt, or Gulf states to southern Syria. These measures could effectively counter foreign interference while reassuring marginalized communities across the fractured nation, offering hope for the future.