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Iran's Water Crisis Deepens as Mashhad Reserves Drop Below 3%, Tehran Faces Imminent Rationing

Iran's escalating water emergency has reached catastrophic levels as the country's second-largest city, Mashhad, reported water reserves below 3% of capacity on Sunday, while the capital Tehran braces for mandatory rationing with less than two weeks of drinking water remaining.

According to the Iran International, the northeastern city of Mashhad, home to approximately four million residents and one of Islam's holiest shrines, faces an unprecedented crisis as its dams have nearly run dry. Hossein Esmaeilian, managing director of the Mashhad Water and Wastewater Company, revealed to state media that total precipitation in Mashhad county has plummeted to just 0.4 millimeters this year, compared to 27-28 millimeters during the same period last year.

"Water consumption management is no longer just a recommendation, but an obligation," Esmaeilian warned, as the religious center struggles to maintain basic services for millions of residents and pilgrims.

The crisis in Mashhad mirrors the dire situation unfolding in Tehran, where the Amir Kabir Dam—one of five major reservoirs supplying the capital's 10 million residents—holds merely 14 million cubic meters of water, approximately 8% of its total capacity. This represents a catastrophic decline from 86 million cubic meters the previous year.

President Masoud Pezeshkian delivered a stark warning on November 7, stating that without significant rainfall by late November, mandatory water rationing would be implemented. More alarmingly, he indicated that partial evacuation of Tehran might become necessary if conditions persist—an unprecedented admission for the Islamic Republic's leadership.

Energy Minister Abbas Aliabadi announced Sunday that nightly water cuts would be implemented nationwide, with water flow potentially "decreased to zero" during certain hours. The government has urged residents to install home water storage systems, though rising prices have made this solution unaffordable for many Iranians already struggling with economic hardship.

The Iranian Water Resources Management Company reports that approximately 19 major dams—10% of the country's reservoirs—are running dry, endangering water access for over 16 million people nationwide. Multiple provinces including West Azerbaijan, East Azerbaijan, and Markazi are experiencing single-digit reservoir levels.

The crisis stems from both natural and human factors. Iran recorded its lowest rainfall in a century this year, with 21 provinces receiving no precipitation whatsoever between September and November. Temperatures hit record highs during Tehran's hottest summer on record, with evaporation rates nearly triple the global average.

However, experts point to decades of mismanagement as the primary culprit. Agricultural activities consume 85-90% of Iran's water resources while contributing far less to the economy. Water-intensive crops like pistachios, grown primarily in arid Kerman province for export, continue depleting groundwater reserves despite the crisis.

In desperation, officials have turned to unconventional solutions. Cloud seeding operations using aircraft and drones have commenced, though meteorologists remain skeptical given insufficient atmospheric moisture. Some officials have even promoted "praying for rain," drawing criticism from water management experts.

Kaveh Madani, Director of the United Nations University Institute for Water, Environment and Health, warns that Iran's "water bankruptcy" threatens the regime's stability and weakens its international position. The crisis reveals fundamental failures in water governance that could trigger mass migration and regional instability.

Photo: Manus AI